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SKILL verified Apache-2.0 Self-run

Mean Reversion

skill-ske-labs-agent-trading-skills-mean-reversion · by SKE-Labs

Trade price extremes back toward the statistical mean using z-scores, Bollinger Bands, and RSI. Use when price is overextended from its average in ranging markets, or when identifying exhaustion at extremes.

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Install

$ agentstack add skill-ske-labs-agent-trading-skills-mean-reversion

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Security review

✓ Passed

No issues found. Passed automated security review. · v0.1.0 How review works →

  • Prompt-injection patterns
  • Secret / credential exfiltration
  • Dangerous shell & filesystem operations
  • Untrusted network calls
  • Known-malicious package signatures

What it can access

  • Network access No
  • Filesystem access No
  • Shell / process execution No
  • Environment & secrets No
  • Dynamic code execution No

From automated source analysis of v0.1.0. “Used” means the capability is present in the source — more access means more to trust, not that it’s unsafe.

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Reliability & compatibility

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Declared compatibility

Claude CodeClaude Desktop

Compatibility is declared by the source manifest. End-to-end runtime verification is coming, see below.

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About

Mean Reversion

Price tends to revert to its statistical mean after moving to extremes. Mean reversion profits from buying oversold and selling overbought in ranging markets.

Detection Methods

Z-Score

Z-Score = (Price - SMA) / Standard Deviation. Enter at |Z| > 2.0, target Z = 0 (the mean).

| Z-Score | Signal | | --- | --- | | > +2.0 | Strongly overbought → sell/short | | -1.0 to +1.0 | Normal → no signal | | 75 = deeply overbought (sell).

Regime Filter (Critical)

| ADX | Mean Reversion? | | --- | --- | | 25 | No — trending, skip |

Workflow

  1. Check regime (must pass first):

`` get_indicators(indicator_code="dmi", symbol=, exchange=, interval=) `` ADX > 25 → stop. Mean reversion not applicable.

  1. Get BB and RSI:

`` get_indicators(indicator_code="bbands", symbol=, exchange=, interval=) get_indicators(indicator_code="rsi", symbol=, exchange=, interval=) get_indicators(indicator_code="ema", symbol=, exchange=, interval=) ``

  1. Get candles for confirmation:

`` get_candles_around_date(symbol=, exchange=, interval=, date=) ``

  1. Mark setup:

`` draw_chart_analysis(action="create", drawing={ "type": "demand", "points": [ {"time": , "price": }, {"time": , "price": } ], "options": {"text": "Mean Reversion Buy (RSI: 22, Z: -2.3)"} }) ``

  1. Targets: conservative = middle band (~65% WR), standard = 75% to middle (~55%), aggressive = opposite band (~35%)

Key Rules

  • NEVER use mean reversion in trending markets (ADX > 25); "oversold" in a downtrend gets more oversold
  • NEVER enter on BB touch alone; require confirmation candle (engulfing, hammer, doji)
  • NEVER hold for opposite band as the plan; middle band (SMA) is the realistic target
  • NEVER ignore BB Width squeeze (<20th pctl); a breakout is coming and mean reversion will fail
  • Require 2+ confirming signals (BB + RSI + Z-Score) for entry
  • If price is at lower BB due to fundamental repricing (earnings, news), it is not "oversold"

Related Skills

  • bollinger-bands — BB touches are the primary visual mean reversion signal
  • market-regime-detection — ADX must confirm ranging market before any mean reversion trade

Source & license

This open-source skill is cataloged on AgentStack and links to its original source — we do not rehost the code.

Install and usage instructions live in the source repository linked above.

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Versions

  • v0.1.0 Imported from the upstream source.