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SKILL verified MIT Self-run

Estimation

skill-cdeust-zetetic-team-subagents-estimation · by cdeust

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Install

$ agentstack add skill-cdeust-zetetic-team-subagents-estimation

✓ scanned · ✓ verified, works with Claude Code, Cursor, and more.

Security review

✓ Passed

No issues found. Passed automated security review. · v0.1.0 How review works →

  • Prompt-injection patterns
  • Secret / credential exfiltration
  • Dangerous shell & filesystem operations
  • Untrusted network calls
  • Known-malicious package signatures

What it can access

  • Network access No
  • Filesystem access No
  • Shell / process execution No
  • Environment & secrets No
  • Dynamic code execution No

From automated source analysis of v0.1.0. “Used” means the capability is present in the source — more access means more to trust, not that it’s unsafe.

View the full security report →

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Reliability & compatibility

Security review passed
0 installs to date
no reviews yet
1mo ago

Declared compatibility

Claude CodeClaude Desktop

Compatibility is declared by the source manifest. End-to-end runtime verification is coming, see below.

Preview Execution monitoring

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About

Estimation

Problem shape: a quantity is needed for a decision, but there is no measurement — or there is a single number with false precision and no bracket. The move is order-of-magnitude decomposition, two-sided bounds, and limits derived before methods are chosen.

Relevant geniuses

| Agent | Use when | |---|---| | [fermi](../../agents/genius/fermi.md) | decision blocked by missing data; single number with no bracket; feasibility check before committing resources; sanity-check a claimed figure | | [erlang](../../agents/genius/erlang.md) | capacity planning, queue sizing, arrival-vs-service balance, latency exploding near saturation (Little's law audits) | | [thompson](../../agents/genius/thompson.md) | "will this design survive 10x scale?" — surface-to-volume and allometric scale-break analysis | | [laplace](../../agents/genius/laplace.md) | priors need eliciting; estimates need updating as evidence arrives; forecaster calibration is unknown | | [carnot](../../agents/genius/carnot.md) | efficiency claims with no derived theoretical limit; "where is the irreversible loss?" | | [erdos](../../agents/genius/erdos.md) | existence/threshold questions on large combinatorial spaces — probabilistic method instead of enumeration |

Invocation

  1. Pick the best-fit agent above. If two or more fit, run

tools/genius-invoker.sh route "" and take the top ranked match.

  1. Load it: tools/genius-invoker.sh invoke "", then read

agents/genius/.md in full.

  1. Apply the agent's `` step by step and answer in its

``. Every estimate ships as a two-sided bracket with the dominant uncertainty named — never a bare point value.

  1. Cross-check: two independent decompositions must agree within ×10 before

the estimate is used for a decision (fermi's sanity-check shape).

  1. If no shape above matches, use a standard team agent instead.

Refuse when

  • The requester wants a precise number a bracket cannot honestly provide —

say what measurement would be needed instead.

  • The estimate would be quoted without its bounds.

Source & license

This open-source skill is cataloged on AgentStack and links to its original source — we do not rehost the code.

Install and usage instructions live in the source repository linked above.

Reviews

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Versions

  • v0.1.0 Imported from the upstream source.