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Demand Forecasting

skill-ericwang915-data-scientist-skills-demand-forecasting · by ericwang915

Forecast product demand: incorporate seasonality, promotions, holidays, price effects, and external factors. Use for inventory planning, capacity management, or revenue projection.

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Install

$ agentstack add skill-ericwang915-data-scientist-skills-demand-forecasting

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Security review

✓ Passed

No issues found. Passed automated security review. · v0.1.0 How review works →

  • Prompt-injection patterns
  • Secret / credential exfiltration
  • Dangerous shell & filesystem operations
  • Untrusted network calls
  • Known-malicious package signatures

What it can access

  • Network access No
  • Filesystem access No
  • Shell / process execution No
  • Environment & secrets No
  • Dynamic code execution No

From automated source analysis of v0.1.0. “Used” means the capability is present in the source — more access means more to trust, not that it’s unsafe.

View the full security report →

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Reliability & compatibility

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Declared compatibility

Claude CodeClaude Desktop

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About

Demand Forecasting

Purpose

Predict future demand incorporating multiple factors for accurate planning.

How It Works

Step 1: Analyze Historical Demand

  • Trend, seasonality, cyclicality
  • Promotional effects and holiday impacts
  • External factors (weather, economic indicators)

Step 2: Choose Model

  • Simple: Moving average, exponential smoothing
  • Statistical: SARIMA, Prophet with regressors
  • ML: XGBoost with lag features, LightGBM
  • Hierarchy: Top-down, bottom-up, middle-out reconciliation

Step 3: Include External Factors

  • Promotions and pricing changes
  • Calendar events and holidays
  • Competitor actions
  • Economic indicators

Step 4: Evaluate

  • Backtest with rolling origin cross-validation
  • MAE, MAPE, WMAPE by product/region
  • Bias detection (over/under-forecasting)

Usage Examples

"Forecast weekly demand for our top 50 products including holiday effects"

Output Format

  • Forecasts: Point predictions with confidence intervals
  • Accuracy Metrics: Historical backtest results
  • Factor Analysis: Impact of each driver on demand
  • Python Code: Prophet / XGBoost implementation

Source & license

This open-source skill is cataloged on AgentStack and links to its original source — we do not rehost the code.

Install and usage instructions live in the source repository linked above.

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Versions

  • v0.1.0 Imported from the upstream source.