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Scenario Analysis

skill-m-binimran-finance-pack-scenario-analysis · by m-binimran

Build scenario and sensitivity analysis - bull/base/bear cases and sensitivity tables on key drivers. Use to stress-test a model, valuation, or forecast and show the range of outcomes.

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Install

$ agentstack add skill-m-binimran-finance-pack-scenario-analysis

✓ scanned · ✓ verified, works with Claude Code, Cursor, and more.

Security review

✓ Passed

No issues found. Passed automated security review. · v0.1.0 How review works →

  • Prompt-injection patterns
  • Secret / credential exfiltration
  • Dangerous shell & filesystem operations
  • Untrusted network calls
  • Known-malicious package signatures

What it can access

  • Network access No
  • Filesystem access No
  • Shell / process execution No
  • Environment & secrets No
  • Dynamic code execution No

From automated source analysis of v0.1.0. “Used” means the capability is present in the source — more access means more to trust, not that it’s unsafe.

View the full security report →

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Reliability & compatibility

Security review passed
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3mo ago

Declared compatibility

Claude CodeClaude Desktop

Compatibility is declared by the source manifest. End-to-end runtime verification is coming, see below.

Preview Execution monitoring

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About

scenario-analysis

One number is a guess; a range with drivers is analysis. Show what swings the outcome.

Process

  1. Identify the key drivers that move the result most (growth, margin, WACC, multiple, churn).
  2. Sensitivity: vary one (or two, as a table) and show the output's response - e.g. value per share across a

WACC x terminal-growth grid. This exposes how fragile the answer is.

  1. Scenarios: coherent bull / base / bear - each a consistent set of assumptions (not just +/- 10%),

with a brief story for why.

  1. Probability-weight (optional): rough odds on each scenario for an expected value - clearly subjective.
  2. Takeaway: the range of outcomes, what you'd need to believe for each, and the asymmetry (up vs. down).

Output

  • A sensitivity table + bull/base/bear scenarios (assumptions + outputs) + the key swing factors and the

risk/reward asymmetry. All labeled as estimates.

Guardrails

  • Scenarios are estimates with stated assumptions (projections-assumptions).
  • Don't present the base case as "the answer" - the point is the range and what drives it.

Source & license

This open-source skill is cataloged on AgentStack and links to its original source — we do not rehost the code.

Install and usage instructions live in the source repository linked above.

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Versions

  • v0.1.0 Imported from the upstream source.