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Forecasting

skill-m-binimran-finance-pack-forecasting · by m-binimran

Build a financial forecast (revenue, P&L, cash) from drivers and assumptions, with a clear method and ranges. Use when projecting performance for planning, valuation, or fundraising.

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Install

$ agentstack add skill-m-binimran-finance-pack-forecasting

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Security review

✓ Passed

No issues found. Passed automated security review. · v0.1.0 How review works →

  • Prompt-injection patterns
  • Secret / credential exfiltration
  • Dangerous shell & filesystem operations
  • Untrusted network calls
  • Known-malicious package signatures

What it can access

  • Network access No
  • Filesystem access No
  • Shell / process execution No
  • Environment & secrets No
  • Dynamic code execution No

From automated source analysis of v0.1.0. “Used” means the capability is present in the source — more access means more to trust, not that it’s unsafe.

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About

forecasting

A forecast is a driver tree plus assumptions. Make the drivers and the method explicit.

Process

  1. Pick the method: driver-based (units x price, funnel, cohorts) > naive growth %. Bottom-up where possible.
  2. Anchor to sourced historicals and a base rate; don't extrapolate a recent spike blindly.
  3. Build the drivers: revenue drivers, margin assumptions, cost structure (fixed vs. variable), working

capital, capex. State each assumption and where it came from.

  1. Project the P&L (and cash if needed) over the horizon; keep it consistent with the drivers.
  2. Ranges + scenarios: base/bull/bear, and the 2-3 assumptions that matter most (scenario-analysis).
  3. Reality-check against capacity, market size, and history - flag anything that implies the impossible.

Output

  • The forecast (driver assumptions + projected P&L), a base/bull/bear range, and the key swing assumptions -

all labeled as estimates.

Guardrails

  • Projections labeled with assumptions (projection-guard); historicals sourced (data-integrity).
  • Give ranges, not false precision; sanity-check against base rates (methodology).

Source & license

This open-source skill is cataloged on AgentStack and links to its original source — we do not rehost the code.

Install and usage instructions live in the source repository linked above.

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Versions

  • v0.1.0 Imported from the upstream source.